Open Access
Article
SciPap-1992
Synchronisation of Quantitative Easing and Fiscal Expansion: Macroeconomic Effects in Times of Crises
by
Mária Liptáková 1, Veronika Šuliková 2, Marianna Siničáková 3 and Jana Budová 4,*
1 Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics, Technical University of Košice, Němcovej 32, Košice 04001, Slovakia
2 Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics, Technical University of Košice, Němcovej 32, Košice 04001, Slovakia
3 Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics, Technical University of Košice, Němcovej 32, Košice 04001, Slovakia
4 Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics, Technical University of Košice, Němcovej 32, Košice 04001, Slovakia
* Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract: The purpose of the paper is to capture macroeconomic responses of quantitative easing in times of financial and non-financial crisis and to confront the extent of the output responses with the synchronisation of quantitative easing and expansionary fiscal policy. Several methodological approaches have been implemented to achieve this aim. Firstly, bibliometric analysis of scientific papers in the field shows the existence of liaisons between quantitative easing and fiscal policy (government debt) in scientific research. Secondly, cross-correlations and Granger causality tests uncover the effects on GDP, industrial production, inflation, and nominal effective exchange rate in the US, the euro area, and the UK (during the period 2007 - 2022) and Japan (during the period 2000 - 2022). The macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing are the most important in the UK and Japan during the financial crisis and in the US during the non-financial crisis. The findings confirm the idea that quantitative easing has a generally higher causal effect on output (or industrial production) if it is accompanied and supported by fiscal expansion, i.e. after the pandemic (non-financial crisis). The scientific value of the paper is that it fills the gap in current research by demonstrating the macroeconomic effects of the pandemic quantitative easing in Japan and the UK and taking the results in the context of fiscal policy and quantitative easing synchronisation.
Keywords: Granger Causality, Quantitative Easing, Financial Crisis, Non-Financial Crisis, Cross-Correlations
JEL classification: E31 - Price Level • Inflation • Deflation, E51 - Money Supply • Credit • Money Multipliers, E52 - Monetary Policy, E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies, E62 - Fiscal Policy
Received: 22 May 2024 / Revised: 11 July 2024 / Accepted: 17 July 2024 / Published: 13 August 2024
