Open Access Article SciPap-860
The Effect of m3 Monetary Aggregates and Bank Loans on the Economic Growth of Countries in the Eurozone, the USA and Japan
by Liběna Černohorská 1,* and Vojtěch Kula 2

1 Faculty of Economics and Administration, Institute of Economic Sciences, University of Pardubice, Studenská 84, Pardubice 532 10, Czechia

2 Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Pardubice, Studenská 84, Pardubice 53210, Czechia

* Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract: This paper examines the influence of selected indicators of the banking sector (M3 monetary aggregates and bank loans provided to the non-financial private sector) on economic growth (GDP) in the Eurozone, the USA and Japan. Cointegration of these selected indicators of the banking sector has been demonstrated in relation to the development of GDP using the Engle - Granger cointegration test. These tests were applied to selected statistical data from the years 2000 to 2015. The first was to determine the optimum delay using Akaike criteria for all-time series analysed. Then the presence of a unit root was analysed using the Dickey - Fuller test. Based on the test results, time series were excluded which appear to be stationary. If the conditions were met, testing then continued with the Engle - Granger test to detect cointegration relations, which would determine a relationship between selected variables. Based on these tests, it was found that at a significance level of 0.05, no cointegration relationship exists between any of the time series in the countries surveyed.

Keywords: Economic Growth, M3, Cointegration Test, Banking Sector, GDP

JEL classification:   C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models,   E47 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications,   E51 - Money Supply • Credit • Money Multipliers

SciPap 2017, 25(2), 860

Received: 1 January 2017 / Accepted: 20 March 2017 / Published: 2 June 2017