Open Access Article SciPap-809
Scenarios Method Instrumentation Modeling
by Erika Meskiene 1,*

1 Department of Public Administration, Šiauliai University, Vilniaus str. 88, Šiauliai LT-76285, Lithuania

* Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract: Rapidly changing market conditions are strongly influenced by organizations development mechanism which are caused by economic, technological, social permanent changes. There is a need to investigate the strategic decision-making efficiency which determines the ability of organizations to adapt to different business situations formed by uncertain environmental changes. Flexible strategic business decisions is a prerequisite for the organizations that are seeking to successful operations and to remain competitive in the business market. Anticipation of different scenarios of the future events enables prompt provision of its adaptation to different situations in the future and at the same time it allows to prepare for possible changes in advance. Scenario method as potential future events synthesis sequence identification enables more a more flexible organization functioning and more mobile human resources management of the organization's management process. The article analyzes the scenario method conception and characterization, performed scenario method advantages and disadvantages analysis as well the scenario method is analysed as a research tool. The article ends with scenario method instrumentation modelation and its development process in stages.

Keywords: Scenario Method, Research Instrument, Strategic Decisions, The Importance Of Scenario Method, Scenario Method Modeling

JEL classification:   C18 - Methodological Issues: General

SciPap 2016, 24(2), 809

Received: 26 April 2016 / Accepted: 8 September 2016 / Published: 16 September 2016